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止跌回稳！2024深圳楼市年度成交92459套住宅，同比涨44%

2025-01-02 09:03 乐有家研究中心今日焦点

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<section style="margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 20px; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); text-wrap: wrap; line-height: 2em;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei";"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">2024年的深圳楼市，是政策爆发的一年，是价格盘整趋稳的一年，是成交“先抑后扬”的一年。在四季度我们迎来了期盼已久的交易量复苏，迎来了“止跌回稳”“积极有为”“适度宽松”的定调。在全年多达17次的重磅政策助力下，2024的深圳楼市交出了一份有惊喜的“答卷”。</span></span></section><p><section style="margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 20px; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); text-wrap: wrap; line-height: 2em;"><strong><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei";">乐有家研究中心统计显示，2024年深圳一手住宅预售网签</span></strong><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei";">37972</span></strong></span><strong><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei";">套，二手住宅网签</span></strong><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei";">54487</span></strong></span><strong><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei";">套，共成交了</span></strong><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei";">92459</span></strong></span><strong><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei";">套。同比2023年一二手住宅的64389套，</span></strong><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei";">上涨了44%</span></strong></span><strong><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei";">。此外，二手成交价格虽然略有下跌3%，但与2023年的-12%相比<strong style="font-family: 宋体, 微软雅黑, Helvetica, Arial;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei";">跌幅</span></strong>大幅度缩小，四季度全面呈现</span></strong><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei";">“止跌回稳”</span></strong></span><strong><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei";">。</span></strong></section><section style="margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 20px; text-wrap: wrap; line-height: 2em;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei"; color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">新房市场</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 20px; text-wrap: wrap; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei";">2024年一手住宅预售网签量37972套，同比2023年</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei";">上涨了20%，是近3年的最高点；一</span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei";">手成交均价5.40万元/㎡，同比下跌10%。在市场“以价换量”的主基调下，近4年开发商让利颇多，新房价格持续下滑。</span></section></p><p style="min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-family: mp-quote, "PingFang SC", system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-wrap: wrap; text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img js_insertlocalimg" data-imgfileid="100010182" data-ratio="0.6227544910179641" data-s="300,640" src="/ueditor/jsp/upload/image/20250102/1735779713482026118.png" data-type="png" data-w="668" data-imgqrcoded="1" style="vertical-align: bottom;"/></p><p><section style="margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 20px; text-wrap: wrap; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei";">细化到2024年各月来看，12月一手住宅预售网签6769套，环比11月下跌了16%，但仍维持着较高水平，是全年月度成交的第二高点。2024年深圳一手住宅月均预售网签3164套，与2023年月均2635套比起来，有明显提高，涨幅20%。</span><br/></section><section style="margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 20px; text-wrap: wrap; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei";">全年新房成交价格整体呈现下滑态势，但四季度有明显的“止跌回稳”，连续2个月小幅上涨。最终回到了“5字头”，以12月的5.09万元/㎡收官。</span></section></p><p style="min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-family: mp-quote, "PingFang SC", system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-wrap: wrap; text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-galleryid="" data-imgfileid="100010167" data-ratio="0.595108695652174" data-s="300,640" src="/ueditor/jsp/upload/image/20250102/1735779713517005851.png" data-type="png" data-w="736" data-imgqrcoded="1" style="vertical-align: bottom;"/></p><p><section style="margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 20px; text-wrap: wrap; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei";">乐有家研究中心统计数据显示，2024年一手住宅预售网签第一的行政区是宝安，达到了9538套，同比增幅7.3%，四季度成交均价5.1万元/㎡。第二、三名的龙华与龙岗预售网签量均超过7500套，同比增幅在3-5成。同比增幅最大的是南山，预售网签2151套，同比上涨149.0%；四季度成交均价也是当前深圳最高的，为9.6万元/㎡。</span></section></p><p style="min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-family: mp-quote, "PingFang SC", system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-wrap: wrap; text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img js_insertlocalimg" data-imgfileid="100010184" data-ratio="0.8581081081081081" data-s="300,640" src="/ueditor/jsp/upload/image/20250102/1735779713558041738.png" data-type="png" data-w="444" data-imgqrcoded="1" style="vertical-align: bottom;"/></p><p style="min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-family: mp-quote, "PingFang SC", system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-wrap: wrap; text-align: center;"><br/></p><p><section style="margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 20px; text-wrap: wrap; line-height: 2em;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei"; color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">二手房市场</span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 20px; text-wrap: wrap; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei";">2024年深圳二手房市场表现更加令人惊喜。</span></section><section style="margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 20px; text-wrap: wrap; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei";">乐有家研究中心统计显示，2024年深圳二手住宅网签54487套，同比上涨66%，也是近4年的最高点，远超2021年。2023和2024年二手成交量持续上涨，虽然与2020年以前比仍有一定差距，但势头良好。</span></section></p><p style="margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 20px; min-height: 1em; text-wrap: wrap; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei";">乐有家门店签约数据显示，2024全年深圳二手成交均价6.3万元，同比跌幅3%。而2023年时，深圳二手房价同比跌幅达到-12%，减少了近1万元/㎡。对比之下，2024年二手房价的回稳趋势也十分明显。</span></p><p><section style="color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-family: mp-quote, "PingFang SC", system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-wrap: wrap; text-align: center; line-height: 2em;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-galleryid="" data-imgfileid="100010171" data-ratio="0.6069221260815822" data-s="300,640" src="/ueditor/jsp/upload/image/20250102/1735779713605031575.png" data-type="png" data-w="809" data-imgqrcoded="1" style="vertical-align: bottom;"/></section><section style="color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-family: mp-quote, "PingFang SC", system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-wrap: wrap; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei"; font-size: 14px; letter-spacing: normal;">2021-2022年，深圳楼市交易量以新房为主，占比在6成左右；2023年，一二手成交占比五五分，二手略微高2个百分点。</span></section><section style="color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-family: mp-quote, "PingFang SC", system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-wrap: wrap; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei"; font-size: 14px; letter-spacing: normal;">到了2024年，二手楼市终于重回市场主导地位，一手住宅网签占41%，二手住宅网签占59%。一二手成交占比接近4：6。对于深圳这类地少人多的超一线城市而言，存量房市场占主流也是楼市稳健运行的表现之一。</span><br/></section><section style="color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-family: mp-quote, "PingFang SC", system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-wrap: wrap; text-align: center; line-height: 2em;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-galleryid="" data-imgfileid="100010177" data-ratio="0.574468085106383" data-s="300,640" src="/ueditor/jsp/upload/image/20250102/1735779713629089165.png" data-type="png" data-w="611" data-imgqrcoded="1" style="vertical-align: bottom;"/></section><section style="margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 20px; text-wrap: wrap; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei";">除了二手住宅网签量，深房中协每月公示的二手房录得量（含非住宅）也是深圳二手楼市交易情况的判断标准之一，录得量比网签量更快反应市场行情。</span></section><section style="margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 20px; text-wrap: wrap; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei";">乐有家研究中心监测显示，2024年深圳录得66880套二手房，同比上涨57%，也是近4年的最高值。</span></section></p><p style="min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-family: mp-quote, "PingFang SC", system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-wrap: wrap; text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img js_insertlocalimg" data-imgfileid="100010183" data-ratio="0.6375" data-s="300,640" src="/ueditor/jsp/upload/image/20250102/1735779713683072905.png" data-type="png" data-w="640" data-imgqrcoded="1" style="vertical-align: bottom;"/></p><p><section style="color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-family: mp-quote, "PingFang SC", system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-wrap: wrap; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei"; font-size: 14px; letter-spacing: normal;">2024年深圳二手月均网签量4541套，月均录得量5573套。其中10-12月深圳二手成交量有明显的复苏，网签及录得量“三连涨”，一路回升至8000套“繁荣线”之上。</span></section><section style="color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-family: mp-quote, "PingFang SC", system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-wrap: wrap; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei"; font-size: 14px; letter-spacing: normal;">12月全市二手房录得量更是超过9000套，达到9115套的高点，刷新2021年以来的最高值；二手住宅网签量8282套，是2020年10月以来的最高值。</span></section><section style="color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-family: mp-quote, "PingFang SC", system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-wrap: wrap; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei"; font-size: 14px; letter-spacing: normal;">价格方面，7月二手成交均价一度跌破“6字头”，但10月价格上涨7%回到“6字头”，四季度稳定在6.3万元/㎡左右。</span></section></p><p style="min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-family: mp-quote, "PingFang SC", system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-wrap: wrap; text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img js_insertlocalimg" data-imgfileid="100010180" data-ratio="0.5819774718397998" data-s="300,640" src="/ueditor/jsp/upload/image/20250102/1735779713720043457.png" data-type="png" data-w="799" data-imgqrcoded="1" style="vertical-align: bottom;"/></p><p style="min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-family: mp-quote, "PingFang SC", system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-wrap: wrap; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei"; font-size: 14px; letter-spacing: normal;">各区二手网签量同比2023年全面上涨，第一名龙岗更是突破1.2万套，网签了12802套，同比涨幅72%。第二、三名的福田与南山网签量均超9000套，同比涨幅5-6成。</span></p><p style="min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-family: mp-quote, "PingFang SC", system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-wrap: wrap; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei"; font-size: 14px; letter-spacing: normal;">南山与龙华四季度二手成交均价同比2023年四季度“止跌”，罗湖、福田、宝安、龙岗、坪山四季度价格同比跌幅在1%-3%，仅有个别交易量较少的区域四季度价格同比跌幅较大。</span></p><p style="min-height: 1em; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-family: mp-quote, "PingFang SC", system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-wrap: wrap; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei"; font-size: 14px; letter-spacing: normal;">当前深圳房价仍处于盘整期，未来半年仍将有所波动。但在“量增”的推动下，价格整体势头向好。</span></p><p><section style="color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-family: mp-quote, "PingFang SC", system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-wrap: wrap; text-align: center; line-height: 2em;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img js_insertlocalimg" data-imgfileid="100010186" data-ratio="0.6422182468694096" data-s="300,640" src="/ueditor/jsp/upload/image/20250102/1735779713779072412.png" data-type="png" data-w="559" data-imgqrcoded="1" style="vertical-align: bottom;"/></section><section style="color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); font-family: mp-quote, "PingFang SC", system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-wrap: wrap; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei"; font-size: 14px; letter-spacing: normal;">过去一年中国经济展现了强大的韧性与活力，在“止跌回稳”及“</span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei"; font-size: 14px; letter-spacing: normal;">稳楼市</span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei"; font-size: 14px; letter-spacing: normal;">”的指引下，房地产市场也出现了积极变化，2024年的深圳楼市量价齐稳，同比环比双增长。</span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei"; font-size: 14px; letter-spacing: normal;">房地产发展新模式正在构建中，</span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei"; font-size: 14px; letter-spacing: normal;">2025年的楼市机遇与挑战并存，</span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei"; font-size: 14px; letter-spacing: normal;">持续用力推动房地产市场止跌回稳仍将是新一年的重点。</span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: 微软雅黑, "Microsoft YaHei"; font-size: 14px; letter-spacing: normal;">但可以肯定的是，深圳楼市已经走出底部，正在“上坡路”努力中，向春天奔去。</span></section></p>

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